Heavy rains this Sunday and Monday in Spain: what is the atmospheric river that meteorologists are monitoring

An atmospheric river loaded with subtropical moisture could cause heavy rainfall from Sunday and during the first days of next week, especially in Galicia, the Central System, and the Canary Islands

of november 04, 2026 at 16:53h
family crossing road rainy day
family crossing road rainy day

Spain is preparing for a new weather change. After several days marked by rain and low temperatures in different parts of the country, meteorologists are monitoring the arrival of an Atlantic low-pressure system that could bring significant rainfall starting on Sunday.

Funny kids in rain boots playing with a paper boat. Source: prostooleh on Magnific.
Funny kids in rain boots playing with a paper boat. Source: prostooleh on Magnific. - prostooleh on Magnific

According to the latest weather forecasts, this low-pressure system will approach the Peninsula during the weekend and bring several rain fronts. In addition, it will be accompanied by a large atmospheric river, a current that transports large amounts of water vapor from subtropical areas and can increase the intensity of precipitation.

Weather models suggest that some areas could accumulate more than 100 liters per square meter during this episode. However, there is still some uncertainty about the exact trajectory of the low-pressure system and the areas that will receive the most intense rainfall.

Which areas of Spain could be most affected by the rains?

Forecasts indicate that Galicia, the Central System, the area around Grazalema and the Strait, as well as the southern face of the Pyrenees, could be some of the areas most affected by this new episode of rain.

In these areas, precipitation could be especially abundant due to the arrival of southwest winds, known as ábregos, which carry humidity and favor rainfall. In areas best exposed to these winds, accumulations could exceed 100 liters per square meter.

A person walking through the forest in the rain. Source: Image by Полина Андреева on Pixabay.
A person walking through the forest in the rain. Source: Image by Полина Андреева on Pixabay. - Image by Полина Андреева on Pixabay

The Canary Islands will also be watching this weather change. Forecasts point to the arrival of an active front between Sunday and Monday, which could bring heavy showers, thunderstorms, and significant amounts of rain. In contrast, the Mediterranean slope and some areas of the Cantabrian coast would, in principle, be further away from the effects of this low-pressure system.

An atmospheric river will bring more humidity from the Atlantic

The arrival of this atmospheric river will be one of the main factors of this episode. It is an elongated and narrow current that transports large amounts of water vapor through the atmosphere. When it coincides with a low-pressure system and several fronts, it can favor abundant rainfall. The change in weather will begin to be noticed during the weekend, when the Atlantic low-pressure system approaches the Peninsula and sends several fronts. The most significant rains could arrive during the first half of next week.

In addition, temperatures will remain relatively mild for this time of year due to the arrival of air masses of subtropical origin. For now, meteorologists are still awaiting the evolution of the models to specify the trajectory of the low-pressure system and the amount of rain that could fall in each autonomous community.

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Carlota Pastor

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