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Chronicles
The situation in Ceuta outlines the most complicated start to the academic year for the Government, which is redefining its initiative and political agenda until the crisis is resolved
The economy and housing were supposed to mark the government's "last push" before the elections, while the PP faces the term with a "sunk" executive and no time.
Pedro Sánchez requests to appear in Congress amid a full rift between Defense and Interior
The clash between Marlaska and Robles over CNI reports on Ceuta gives wings to the PP, which demands the Official Secrets Commission after accusing the Executive of lying.
The political course begins early with six ministers in Congress due to the Ceuta crisis, in a scenario propitious for the far-right
La Moncloa tries to regain control without success. The clash between administrations, neighborhood protests, and pressure from the opposition generate an increasingly complicated climate.
The PP will defend its position in Congress: to return all migrants, including minors, despite the law and ignoring previous convictions
Feijóo hardens his discourse in Ceuta and marks the prelude to the last political year before the elections with a roadmap that will be "implacable" against any attempt of "invasion," according to sources from Génova
The PP and the Government maintain the clash over Ceuta and now focus the battle on the health situation
Health admits "tension" in the healthcare system but denies "collapse," while the PP demands Mónica García's resignation and Vox demands criminal accountability from Pedro Sánchez.
Economy defends measures in force despite CPI rebound and will wait until September to evaluate new decisions
The 15.7% year-on-year rise in diesel in July has activated the safeguard clause provided by the Government. Thus, the tax reduction for this fuel will be 20 cents per liter in September, compared to the 5 cents initially planned
Sánchez takes the clash with Meloni to the BOE: the Government justifies controls due to "migratory pressure" and Italy considers them "totally unacceptable"
The Executive does not close the door to re-establishing the diplomatic channel to reverse the situation, but, for the moment, border controls will be applied for a period of thirty calendar days: until September 7.
No interlocution between Moncloa and the PP: the opposition demands Sánchez's urgent appearance due to the migratory crisis, but the Government does not contemplate it
The Popular Party has registered in Congress the urgent request for a meeting of the Permanent Deputation for the Ministers of Interior, Defense, Foreign Affairs, and Presidency to appear due to "the invasion of the border."
The crisis in Ceuta widens the ground for the racist far-right: Núcleo Nacional, SALF and Vox compete for the narrative of "saving the homeland" while fear spreads across Europe
To the government's lack of foresight in the face of the crisis is added the strategy of the far-right, which, under multiple acronyms, spreads hate, shakes fear, and seeks to subvert the established order.
The Government seeks to completely de-escalate the Ceuta crisis while appealing to Morocco's "collaboration" and trying to contain the European front
Foreign Affairs calls for an end to the "interested confusion" about border management, which, in its opinion, favors the interests of the far-right, while members of Sumar accuse Rabat of orchestrating a "destabilization operation."
Pedro Sánchez will finalize aid for areas affected by fires on Tuesday, will call for a State Pact for the climate emergency, and "will dismantle the idea" that the Government is paralyzed
Moncloa prepares a balance loaded with data to place the Executive on the planned roadmap: budgets at the end of summer and reaching 2027 without ruling out elections in the first quarter.
Sánchez and Pradales postpone their meeting until after the summer due to disagreement over the transfer of Social Security
The Basque Government considers the proposal sent by Moncloa on July 17 insufficient and confirms that positions remain far apart; the meeting will resume in September, at the beginning of the last political year before the elections
Sánchez loses ground with the PNV: Lakua leaves Pradales' trip to Madrid up in the air due to "lack of progress" in pending transfers
Moncloa sent its proposals, but the Basque Government confirms that positions remain "very far apart" and demands progress while the Government needs the support of the PNV to move forward with other negotiations
The PNV puts its relationship with the Government at risk if in the coming days there is no agreement on the transfer of Social Security to Euskadi
The bilateral meeting between the President of the Government and the Lehendakari, Imanol Pradales, scheduled before the end of July, remains "up in the air" while Lakua studies the latest proposal sent this Friday by La Moncloa
The first parliamentary defeat in the processing of the Budgets raises the option of an early election while the Government maintains its roadmap
From Moncloa and on several fronts, they are negotiating the new housing decree-law, which will arrive before the end of the month, with which they intend to sell "reasons" to continue governing while partners like Junts cool expectations
The judicial agenda conditions the Government's strategy: La Moncloa prepares different scenarios for a decisive week
Declarations, citations, and resolutions on cases affecting the PSOE and the president's circle will mark the coming days, while the Executive prepares its response based on each judicial decision to contain its political impact
PP and the far-right Vox block the friendship treaty with France in the Senate before Sánchez's trip to Paris
The Upper House takes the agreement signed by Sánchez and Macron in 2023 to the Constitutional Court, and leaves its definitive ratification in suspense
The PP draws an opposition "without truce" and prepares a radical turn in policies such as immigration or employment if it reaches La Moncloa
Feijóo's leadership intensifies its parliamentary offensive against the Government with a discourse increasingly close to VOX and new initiatives on immigration, while the Executive points to the "lack of moderation" of the popular party.
The Government will complete in the next three weeks the key procedures to present the Budgets in September and on time for the first time this legislature
Hacienda gathers this Monday the Fiscal and Financial Policy Council to present to the autonomous communities the deficit, debt and spending rule targets for 2027-2029
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